Northern Illinois
W-L: ( 2- 7) PR = 89.2398Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 2- 7 213 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 7- 5 214 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 6- 4 215 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 1- 5 220 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 0-11 307 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 1- 8 308 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 2- 5 421 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 4- 5 429 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 2- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Ohio State 2- 7 -5 -4 -1.13
213 H Abilene Christian 7- 5 2 2 -0.24
214 A Georgia Tech 6- 4 2 -6 +++ 8.34
215 H New Mexico State 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.07
220 H Kentucky 0-11 -11 -4 --- -7.25
307 A Purdue 1- 8 -7 -6 -1.05
308 A Purdue 2- 5 -3 -6 + 2.95
421 H Northwestern 4- 5 -1 -5 ++ 4.44
429 H Notre Dame 2- 9 -7 -3 - -3.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Kentucky 0-11 -11 -4 --- -7.25 215 H New Mexico State 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.07 429 H Notre Dame 2- 9 -7 -3 - -3.99 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Georgia Tech 6- 4 2 -6 +++ 8.34 421 H Northwestern 4- 5 -1 -5 ++ 4.44 308 A Purdue 2- 5 -3 -6 + 2.95 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 2- 7 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 2.80 -9.51
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 7- 5 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 2.80 36.21
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 6- 4 -5.06 14.31 0.74 2.80 84.28
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 1- 5 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 2.80 -12.22
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 0-11 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 2.80 -9.68
3 A Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 1- 8 -5.45 13.92 0.74 2.80 -6.59
3 A Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 2- 5 -5.45 13.92 0.74 2.80 -6.59
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 4- 5 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 2.80 -7.30
3 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 2- 9 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 2.80 -10.72
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57.88
|
winning pts = 120.4968 losing points = -62.6131
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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